China GDP growth in Q4 2025?
NEW
4.5-5.0% 78%
4.0-4.5% 14%
>5.0% 9%
3.5-4.0% 5.3%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
<2.5%
$280 Vol.
<1%
<2.5%
$280 Vol.
<1%
2.5-3.0%
$233 Vol.
<1%
2.5-3.0%
$233 Vol.
<1%
3.0-3.5%
$186 Vol.
<1%
3.0-3.5%
$186 Vol.
<1%
3.5-4.0%
$165 Vol.
5%
3.5-4.0%
$165 Vol.
5%
4.0-4.5%
$270 Vol.
14%
4.0-4.5%
$270 Vol.
14%
4.5-5.0%
$521 Vol.
78%
4.5-5.0%
$521 Vol.
78%
>5.0%
$248 Vol.
9%
>5.0%
$248 Vol.
9%
Rules
This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for Q4 of 2025, scheduled for some time in January, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Created At: Dec 9, 2025, 7:56 PM UTC
Volume
$1,904End Date
Jan 31, 2026Created At
Dec 9, 2025, 7:56 PM UTCResolver
0x2F5e3684c...NEW
China GDP growth in Q4 2025?
4.5-5.0% 78%
4.0-4.5% 14%
>5.0% 9%
3.5-4.0% 5.3%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
<2.5%
$280 Vol.
<1%
2.5-3.0%
$233 Vol.
<1%
3.0-3.5%
$186 Vol.
<1%
3.5-4.0%
$165 Vol.
5%
4.0-4.5%
$270 Vol.
14%
4.5-5.0%
$521 Vol.
78%
>5.0%
$248 Vol.
9%
About
Volume
$1,904End Date
Jan 31, 2026Created At
Dec 9, 2025, 7:56 PM UTCResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Beware of external links.
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Beware of external links.
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