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Fed decision in January?
50+ bps decrease
1%
25 bps decrease
20%
$8m Vol.
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ?
December 31, 2025
March 31, 2026
8%
$3m Vol.
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in 2025?
4.6%
4.8%
$5m Vol.
What price will gold close at in 2025? ($4000-5000)
<$4000
3%
4000-4100
13%
$2m Vol.
What price will gold close at in 2025? ($2500-3200)
<$2,500
<1%
$2,500-$2,600
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
0 (0 bps)
5%
1 (25 bps)
14%
$897k Vol.
IPOs in 2025?
Wealthfront
100%
Brex
2%
$691k Vol.
ECB rate cut in 2025?
chance
Yes
No
$238k Vol.
Which CEOs will be gone in 2025?
Sam Altman - OpenAI
Sundar Pichai - Google
$638k Vol.
2nd Largest company end of 2025?
Apple
91%
NVIDIA
6%
$1m Vol.
3rd Largest company end of 2025?
Alphabet
90%
Microsoft
7%
$326k Vol.
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in 2025?
$893k Vol.
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in 2025?
3.9%
3.8%
$869k Vol.
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of December 8 above___?
$155
99%
$160
$30k Vol.
Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025?
80%
$682k Vol.
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of December 8 above___?
$250
$255
97%
$23k Vol.
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of December 8 above___?
$290
$295
52%
$25k Vol.
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of December 8 above___?
$425
60%
$430
53%
$15k Vol.
Next CEO of X?
No CEO announced in 2025
98%
Nikita Bier
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IPOs
Fed Rates
Prediction Markets
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