AI Markets | Polymarket

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What day will OpenAI next release a new frontier model?

AI

Gpt

What day will OpenAI next release a new frontier model?

100%

December 11

$4m Vol.

$3m today

$1m Liq.

Ends in 19 days

Which company has best AI model end of 2025?

Which company has best AI model end of 2025?

81%

Google

$29m Vol.

$475k today

$2m Liq.

3,468

Ends in 19 days

Largest Company end of 2025?

Largest Company end of 2025?

92%

NVIDIA

$52m Vol.

$411k today

$2m Liq.

827

Ends in 19 days

Gemini 3.0 Flash released by...?

Gemini 3.0 Flash released by...?

97%

December 31

$2m Vol.

$118k today

$145k Liq.

150

Ends in 19 days

Which company has second best AI model end of December?

AI

Gpt

Which company has second best AI model end of December?

44%

Google

$740k Vol.

$78.7k today

$94.1k Liq.

51

Ends in 19 days

Which company will have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?

Which company will have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?

53%

OpenAI

$3m Vol.

$73.9k today

$147k Liq.

118

Ends in 19 days

Which CEOs will be gone in 2025?

Which CEOs will be gone in 2025?

2%

Sundar Pichai - Google

$638k Vol.

$34.8k Liq.

13

Ends in 19 days

Nothing Ever Happens: AI Edition

Nothing Ever Happens: AI Edition

89%

$119k Vol.

$4.6k Liq.

31

Ends in 19 days

Which company has top AI model end of December? (Style Control On)

Which company has top AI model end of December? (Style Control On)

74%

Google

$2m Vol.

$86.1k Liq.

19

Ends in 19 days

Which company will have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?

Which company will have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?

74%

Anthropic

$2m Vol.

$61.1k Liq.

43

Ends in 19 days

Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by...?

Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by...?

59%

June 30, 2026

$1m Vol.

$18.5k Liq.

160

Ends in 19 days

Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?

Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?

1%

$1m Vol.

$27.4k Liq.

Ends in 19 days

Which companies will have a #1 AI model this year?

Which companies will have a #1 AI model this year?

5%

Anthropic

$2m Vol.

$63.5k Liq.

97

Ends in 19 days

Largest Company end of June?

Largest Company end of June?

51%

NVIDIA

$697k Vol.

$222k Liq.

79

Ends in 7 months

Largest Company end of December 2026?

Largest Company end of December 2026?

39%

NVIDIA

$147k Vol.

$271k Liq.

Ends in about 1 year

Google Gemini 3 score on LMArena by December 31?

Google Gemini 3 score on LMArena by December 31?

12%

1500+

$350k Vol.

$14.8k Liq.

96

Ends in 19 days

GPT-6 released by…?

GPT-6 released by…?

85%

December 31, 2026

$116k Vol.

$16.0k Liq.

31

Ends in 19 days

Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?

AI

Gpt

Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?

24%

$369k Vol.

$4.4k Liq.

72

Ends in 19 days

Google Gemini 3 score on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?

Google Gemini 3 score on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?

43%

40%+

$550k Vol.

$9.1k Liq.

79

Ends in about 2 months

Which company has the best AI model end of January?

Which company has the best AI model end of January?

73%

Google

$62.5k Vol.

$94.1k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months