Market icon

Fed Decision in June?

NEW

No change 45%

25 bps decrease 43%

50+ bps decrease 12%

50+ bps increase 3.6%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.

This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's June 2026 meeting.

If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)

The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.

The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volume
$749
End Date
Jun 17, 2026
Created At
Dec 10, 2025, 9:37 PM UTC
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NEW
Market icon

Fed Decision in June?

No change 45%

25 bps decrease 43%

50+ bps decrease 12%

50+ bps increase 3.6%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

50+ bps decrease

$151 Vol.

12%

25 bps decrease

$220 Vol.

43%

No change

$115 Vol.

45%

25 bps increase

$128 Vol.

3%

50+ bps increase

$136 Vol.

4%

About

Volume
$749
End Date
Jun 17, 2026
Created At
Dec 10, 2025, 9:37 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.