How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$1,161 Vol.
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
4.0%
$366 Vol.
94%
4.0%
$366 Vol.
94%
3.9%
$206 Vol.
92%
3.9%
$206 Vol.
92%
3.8%
$59 Vol.
49%
3.8%
$59 Vol.
49%
3.7%
$5 Vol.
33%
3.7%
$5 Vol.
33%
3.6%
$10 Vol.
24%
3.6%
$10 Vol.
24%
3.5%
$223 Vol.
50%
3.5%
$223 Vol.
50%
3.0%
$16 Vol.
14%
3.0%
$16 Vol.
14%
2.0%
$132 Vol.
9%
2.0%
$132 Vol.
9%
1.0%
$144 Vol.
10%
1.0%
$144 Vol.
10%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Created At: Nov 12, 2025, 11:01 PM UTC
Volume
$1,161End Date
Dec 31, 2026Created At
Nov 12, 2025, 11:01 PM UTCResolver
0x65070BE91...$1,161 Vol.
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
4.0%
$366 Vol.
94%
3.9%
$206 Vol.
92%
3.8%
$59 Vol.
49%
3.7%
$5 Vol.
33%
3.6%
$10 Vol.
24%
3.5%
$223 Vol.
50%
3.0%
$16 Vol.
14%
2.0%
$132 Vol.
9%
1.0%
$144 Vol.
10%
About
Volume
$1,161End Date
Dec 31, 2026Created At
Nov 12, 2025, 11:01 PM UTCResolver
0x65070BE91...
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