Market icon

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

$2,285,530 Vol.

Donald Trump 18%

UNRWA 10%

Yulia Navalnaya 7%

Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani 6.2%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.

If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Volume
$2,285,530
End Date
Oct 10, 2026
Created At
Oct 16, 2025, 10:04 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.

$2,285,530 Vol.

Market icon

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Donald Trump 18%

UNRWA 10%

Yulia Navalnaya 7%

Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani 6.2%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE
Market icon

Donald Trump

$873,148 Vol.

18%

Market icon

UNRWA

$9,807 Vol.

10%

Market icon

Yulia Navalnaya

$13,303 Vol.

7%

Market icon

Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani

$25,432 Vol.

6%

Market icon

Pope Leo XIV

$11,106 Vol.

3%

Market icon

Greta Thunberg

$6,224 Vol.

3%

Market icon

António Guterres

$4,438 Vol.

3%

Market icon

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

$41,817 Vol.

3%

Market icon

International Court of Justice

$10,217 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Khaled Mashal

$499 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Elon Musk

$195,265 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Vladimir Putin

$43,758 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Julian Assange

$62,552 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Xi Jinping

$71,571 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Charlie Kirk

$129,325 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Benjamin Netanyahu

$53,929 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan

$122,893 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Mohammed bin Salman

$125,951 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Ahmed al-Sharaa

$368,364 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Narendra Modi

$115,929 Vol.

1%

About

Volume
$2,285,530
End Date
Oct 10, 2026
Created At
Oct 16, 2025, 10:04 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.