Market icon

Oscars 2026: Best Actor Winner

$1,817,036 Vol.

Timothée Chalamet 46%

Leonardo DiCaprio 27%

Wagner Moura 12.8%

Ethan Hawke 10.2%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 98th Academy Award for Best Actor.

If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,817,036
End Date
Mar 15, 2026
Created At
Sep 26, 2025, 9:19 PM UTC
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$1,817,036 Vol.

Market icon

Oscars 2026: Best Actor Winner

Timothée Chalamet 46%

Leonardo DiCaprio 27%

Wagner Moura 12.8%

Ethan Hawke 10.2%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Timothée Chalamet

$92,145 Vol.

46%

Leonardo DiCaprio

$166,586 Vol.

27%

Wagner Moura

$37,345 Vol.

13%

Ethan Hawke

$110,469 Vol.

10%

Daniel Day-Lewis

$31,730 Vol.

2%

Michael B. Jordan

$19,288 Vol.

1%

Jesse Plemons

$26,627 Vol.

1%

Dwayne Johnson

$214,489 Vol.

1%

Paul Mescal

$36,019 Vol.

<1%

Brendan Fraser

$126,049 Vol.

<1%

Jeremy Allen White

$45,331 Vol.

<1%

George Clooney

$24,427 Vol.

<1%

Channing Tatum

$272,756 Vol.

<1%

Colin Farrell

$437,857 Vol.

<1%

Hugh Jackman

$175,917 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$1,817,036
End Date
Mar 15, 2026
Created At
Sep 26, 2025, 9:19 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.