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Oscars 2026: Best Picture Nominations

$465,649 Vol.

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed movie is nominated for the 98th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2025 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$465,649
End Date
Jan 22, 2026
Created At
Sep 26, 2025, 9:12 PM UTC
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$465,649 Vol.

Market icon

Oscars 2026: Best Picture Nominations

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

One Battle After Another

$115,738 Vol.

98%

Hamnet

$5,933 Vol.

98%

Marty Supreme

$10,190 Vol.

96%

Sinners

$2,847 Vol.

96%

Sentimental Value

$6,692 Vol.

92%

Frankenstein

$27,293 Vol.

90%

It Was Just an Accident

$10,096 Vol.

86%

Bugonia

$22,192 Vol.

66%

Train Dreams

$15,297 Vol.

59%

Jay Kelly

$12,390 Vol.

40%

No Other Choice

$20,212 Vol.

28%

Avatar: Fire and Ash

$19,563 Vol.

22%

Wicked: For Good

$23,417 Vol.

18%

Nouvelle Vague

$3,460 Vol.

11%

Weapons

$13,714 Vol.

7%

The Testament of Ann Lee

$19,677 Vol.

6%

Rental Family

$26,073 Vol.

5%

The Life of Chuck

$24,514 Vol.

5%

F1

$8,820 Vol.

5%

Sound of Falling

$253 Vol.

4%

The Smashing Machine

$20,577 Vol.

4%

Sorry Baby

$513 Vol.

4%

Warfare

$345 Vol.

4%

A House of Dynamite

$14,496 Vol.

4%

After the Hunt

$234 Vol.

4%

The Lost Bus

$606 Vol.

4%

Novocaine

$542 Vol.

3%

Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery

$2,004 Vol.

3%

Springsteen: Deliver Me From Nowhere

$5,986 Vol.

3%

Highest 2 Lowest

$3,656 Vol.

2%

Die My Love

$4,390 Vol.

2%

Thunderbolts

$2,245 Vol.

1%

Anemone

$21,684 Vol.

1%

About

Volume
$465,649
End Date
Jan 22, 2026
Created At
Sep 26, 2025, 9:12 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.