Portugal Presidential Election: 1st Round Winner

Name: Portugal Presidential Election: 1st Round Winner
Start: 2025-12-03T21:04:52.04413Z
End: 2026-01-25T00:00:00Z

$46,757 Vol.

Jan 25, 2026

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD) 53%

André Ventura (CH) 48%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND) 13%

Pedro Tinoco de Faria (IND) 2.5%

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)
$3,133 Vol.
53%
0123456789
%

André Ventura (CH)
$3,884 Vol.
48%
0123456789
0123456789
%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND)
$2,821 Vol.
13%
0123456789
%

Pedro Tinoco de Faria (IND)
$2,029 Vol.
2%
0123456789
%

Paulo Portas (CDS)
$2,047 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

António José Seguro (IND)
$2,193 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

António Filipe (PCP)
$2,071 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)
$1,560 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Ângela Maryah (IND)
$1,946 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Joana Amaral Dias (ADN)
$2,024 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Aristides Teixeira (IND)
$1,888 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Vitorino Silva (IND)
$2,205 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Tim Vieira (IND)
$1,907 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

André Pestana (IND)
$1,903 Vol.
<1%

Orlando Cruz (IND)
$1,898 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Rui Moreira (IND)
$1,767 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

José Cardoso (PLS)
$2,013 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Jorge Pinto
$1,946 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Manuela Magno (IND)
$1,983 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Raul Perestrello (IND)
$1,897 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Pedro Passos Coelho (PSD)
$1,848 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Catarina Martins (BE)
$1,792 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Rules

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on 18 or 25 January 2026, with a possible second round on 8 or 15 February 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that receives the highest number of valid votes in the first round of this election.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the first round of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).

Created At: Dec 3, 2025, 8:36 PM UTC

Volume

$46,757

End Date

Jan 25, 2026

Created At

Dec 3, 2025, 8:36 PM UTC

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Beware of external links.

$46,757 Vol.

Jan 25, 2026

Portugal Presidential Election: 1st Round Winner

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD) 53%

André Ventura (CH) 48%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND) 13%

Pedro Tinoco de Faria (IND) 2.5%

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)

$3,133 Vol.

53%

André Ventura (CH)

$3,884 Vol.

48%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND)

$2,821 Vol.

13%

Pedro Tinoco de Faria (IND)

$2,029 Vol.

Paulo Portas (CDS)

$2,047 Vol.

António José Seguro (IND)

$2,193 Vol.

<1%

António Filipe (PCP)

$2,071 Vol.

<1%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)

$1,560 Vol.

<1%

Ângela Maryah (IND)

$1,946 Vol.

<1%

Joana Amaral Dias (ADN)

$2,024 Vol.

<1%

Aristides Teixeira (IND)

$1,888 Vol.

<1%

Vitorino Silva (IND)

$2,205 Vol.

<1%

Tim Vieira (IND)

$1,907 Vol.

<1%

André Pestana (IND)

$1,903 Vol.

<1%

Orlando Cruz (IND)

$1,898 Vol.

<1%

Rui Moreira (IND)

$1,767 Vol.

<1%

José Cardoso (PLS)

$2,013 Vol.

<1%

Jorge Pinto

$1,946 Vol.

<1%

Manuela Magno (IND)

$1,983 Vol.

<1%

Raul Perestrello (IND)

$1,897 Vol.

<1%

Pedro Passos Coelho (PSD)

$1,848 Vol.

<1%

Catarina Martins (BE)

$1,792 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume

$46,757

End Date

Jan 25, 2026

Created At

Dec 3, 2025, 8:36 PM UTC

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Will André Ventura win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

37%

Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

72%

Will Luís Marques Mendes qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

84%

Beware of external links.

Portugal Presidential Election: 1st Round Winner

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)
$3,133 Vol.
53%
0123456789
%

André Ventura (CH)
$3,884 Vol.
48%
0123456789
0123456789
%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND)
$2,821 Vol.
13%
0123456789
%

Pedro Tinoco de Faria (IND)
$2,029 Vol.
2%
0123456789
%

Paulo Portas (CDS)
$2,047 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

António José Seguro (IND)
$2,193 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

António Filipe (PCP)
$2,071 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)
$1,560 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Ângela Maryah (IND)
$1,946 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Joana Amaral Dias (ADN)
$2,024 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Aristides Teixeira (IND)
$1,888 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Vitorino Silva (IND)
$2,205 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%