Which Parties will be part of next Government of the Netherlands?
$550,603 Vol.
OUTCOME
% CHANCE

D66
$53,378 Vol.
94%

D66
$53,378 Vol.
94%

VVD
$89,945 Vol.
94%

VVD
$89,945 Vol.
94%

CDA
$111,580 Vol.
94%

CDA
$111,580 Vol.
94%

JA21
$27,871 Vol.
29%

JA21
$27,871 Vol.
29%

GL/PvdA
$34,030 Vol.
10%

GL/PvdA
$34,030 Vol.
10%

50+
$1,061 Vol.
8%

50+
$1,061 Vol.
8%

BBB
$15,853 Vol.
4%

BBB
$15,853 Vol.
4%

Volt
$9,237 Vol.
4%

Volt
$9,237 Vol.
4%

CU
$23,250 Vol.
4%

CU
$23,250 Vol.
4%

PvdD
$3,938 Vol.
3%

PvdD
$3,938 Vol.
3%

SP
$5,881 Vol.
3%

SP
$5,881 Vol.
3%

Denk
$9,154 Vol.
2%

Denk
$9,154 Vol.
2%

PVV
$56,038 Vol.
2%

PVV
$56,038 Vol.
2%

SGP
$8,692 Vol.
1%

SGP
$8,692 Vol.
1%

FvD
$48,464 Vol.
1%

FvD
$48,464 Vol.
1%

NSC
$52,232 Vol.
1%

NSC
$52,232 Vol.
1%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party is a part of the first Dutch government formed after the 2025 general election scheduled to take place October 29. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it signs the coalition agreement and provides at least one cabinet minister to the ruling government. Parties that merely provide external support (“gedoogsteun”) without holding ministerial positions will not qualify.
This market may resolve once the first government is officially announced and sworn in by the monarch, with ministers appointed under "non-caretaker circumstances."
If no government is formed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if another election is called without a government being formed this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official announcements from the governing coalition; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it signs the coalition agreement and provides at least one cabinet minister to the ruling government. Parties that merely provide external support (“gedoogsteun”) without holding ministerial positions will not qualify.
This market may resolve once the first government is officially announced and sworn in by the monarch, with ministers appointed under "non-caretaker circumstances."
If no government is formed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if another election is called without a government being formed this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official announcements from the governing coalition; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Created At: Sep 4, 2025, 2:59 AM UTC
Volume
$550,603End Date
Oct 29, 2025Created At
Sep 4, 2025, 2:59 AM UTCResolver
0x65070BE91...$550,603 Vol.
Which Parties will be part of next Government of the Netherlands?
OUTCOME
% CHANCE

D66
$53,378 Vol.
94%

VVD
$89,945 Vol.
94%

CDA
$111,580 Vol.
94%

JA21
$27,871 Vol.
29%

GL/PvdA
$34,030 Vol.
10%

50+
$1,061 Vol.
8%

BBB
$15,853 Vol.
4%

Volt
$9,237 Vol.
4%

CU
$23,250 Vol.
4%

PvdD
$3,938 Vol.
3%

SP
$5,881 Vol.
3%

Denk
$9,154 Vol.
2%

PVV
$56,038 Vol.
2%

SGP
$8,692 Vol.
1%

FvD
$48,464 Vol.
1%

NSC
$52,232 Vol.
1%
About
Volume
$550,603End Date
Oct 29, 2025Created At
Sep 4, 2025, 2:59 AM UTCResolver
0x65070BE91...Beware of external links.
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