Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

$36,402,104 Vol.

Kevin Hassett 74%

Kevin Warsh 13%

Scott Bessent 4.2%

Christopher Waller 3.6%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$36,402,104
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
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Beware of external links.

$36,402,104 Vol.

Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Hassett 74%

Kevin Warsh 13%

Scott Bessent 4.2%

Christopher Waller 3.6%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Kevin Hassett

$2,251,134 Vol.

74%

Kevin Warsh

$586,892 Vol.

13%

Scott Bessent

$688,955 Vol.

4%

Christopher Waller

$869,487 Vol.

4%

Rick Rieder

$563,596 Vol.

3%

Michelle Bowman

$481,162 Vol.

2%

Stephen Miran

$861,346 Vol.

1%

David Malpass

$534,766 Vol.

<1%

Jerome Powell

$483,921 Vol.

<1%

Judy Shelton

$932,603 Vol.

<1%

James Bullard

$538,694 Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$619,768 Vol.

<1%

Marc Sumerlin

$1,023,876 Vol.

<1%

Janet Yellen

$3,873,011 Vol.

<1%

Bill Pulte

$2,622,974 Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$516,019 Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$6,378,112 Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$1,916,933 Vol.

<1%

David Zervos

$1,309,371 Vol.

<1%

Lorie K. Logan

$265,734 Vol.

<1%

Philip Jefferson

$1,399,840 Vol.

<1%

Larry Lindsey

$746,283 Vol.

<1%

Barron Trump

$107,017 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$6,357,537 Vol.

<1%

No one nominated before 2027

$468,270 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$36,402,104
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.