Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

$36,385,408 Vol.

Kevin Hassett 75%

Kevin Warsh 13%

Scott Bessent 4.4%

Christopher Waller 3.6%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$36,385,408
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.

$36,385,408 Vol.

Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Hassett 75%

Kevin Warsh 13%

Scott Bessent 4.4%

Christopher Waller 3.6%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Kevin Hassett

$2,251,090 Vol.

75%

Kevin Warsh

$586,892 Vol.

13%

Scott Bessent

$687,955 Vol.

4%

Christopher Waller

$869,445 Vol.

4%

Rick Rieder

$563,593 Vol.

3%

Michelle Bowman

$481,142 Vol.

2%

Stephen Miran

$860,346 Vol.

1%

David Malpass

$534,766 Vol.

<1%

Jerome Powell

$483,921 Vol.

<1%

Judy Shelton

$932,593 Vol.

<1%

James Bullard

$538,694 Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$619,759 Vol.

<1%

Marc Sumerlin

$1,023,827 Vol.

<1%

Bill Pulte

$2,622,974 Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$516,019 Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$6,378,112 Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$1,911,933 Vol.

<1%

David Zervos

$1,309,371 Vol.

<1%

Lorie K. Logan

$265,734 Vol.

<1%

Philip Jefferson

$1,399,840 Vol.

<1%

Janet Yellen

$3,873,011 Vol.

<1%

Larry Lindsey

$736,783 Vol.

<1%

Barron Trump

$107,017 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$6,357,537 Vol.

<1%

No one nominated before 2027

$468,270 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$36,385,408
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.