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Venezuela polymarkets
Venezuela
Maduro out by...?
$24m Vol.
$460k today
$604k Liq.
1,637
Ends in about 1 year
56%
December 31, 2026
US x Venezuela military engagement by...?
$36m Vol.
$367k today
$286k Liq.
3,802
Ends in 4 months
53%
March 31, 2026
Next US x Venezuela military engagement on...?
$3m Vol.
$171k today
$340k Liq.
42
Ends in 19 days
81%
No Engagement in 2025
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?
$74.7k Vol.
$59.7k today
$10.0k Liq.
32
43%
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?
$2m Vol.
$86.6k Liq.
51
15%
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro again by December 31?
$35.6k Vol.
$6.0k Liq.
13%
US forces in Venezuela by...?
$30.0k Liq.
44
7%
December 31
U.S. operation to capture Maduro in 2025?
$22.4k Vol.
$10.3k Liq.
1
2%
Maduro in U.S. custody by December 31?
$107k Vol.
$12.8k Liq.
Odds of US x Venezuela military engagement by Dec 31 on Friday?
$9.3k Vol.
$5.2k Liq.
2
34%
>20%
Nothing Ever Happens: World Leader Out Edition
$226k Vol.
$11.2k Liq.
18
92%
Odds of Maduro out by March 31 on Friday?
$7.2k Vol.
$2.1k Liq.
97%
>30%
Will Maduro's rule survive a US military engagement?
$59.8k Vol.
$4.6k Liq.
20
11%
Will Trump release the sanctioned oil tanker by December 31?
$2.2k Vol.
$1.2k Liq.
3%
Will Maduro visit the White House in 2025?
$20.7k Vol.
$9.4k Liq.
3
1%
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro again by December 15?
$21.5k Vol.
$6.1k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
Will Venezuela invade Guyana in 2025?
$71.6k Vol.
$12.7k Liq.
5
U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by December 31?
$73.6k Vol.
$3.0k Liq.
40
23%
Maduro leaves Venezuela by March 31?
$50.1k Vol.
$3.8k Liq.
Maduro leaves Venezuela by December 31?
$14.9k Vol.
$5.1k Liq.
8%
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