Name: #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on December 19?
Start: 2025-12-11T19:44:07.072031Z
End: 2025-12-19T00:00:00Z

Use the internal polymarket geolocation service.

poly_geo

Improved notification preferences and types.

notifications_v2

funkit_deposit

funkit_withdraw

authenticated_book_ws

Improved in-game view for sports markets.

mobile_sports_overlay_v2

async_order_submission

Enable updates from the sports websocket.

sports_websocket

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under “Paid Apps”, as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

To find the overall chart, click “Apps” at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to “Top Paid Apps” and click “See All.” Then under “Paid Apps” in the “Top Charts” section, you’ll see the list that will be used as the resolution source for this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/iphone/charts/36?chart=top-paid).

HotSchedules

Procreate Pocket

AutoSnore: Snoring Recorder

Jingle+

Shadowrocket

That’s not my Neighbor!

AnkiMobile Flashcards

TonalEnergy Tuner & Metronome

#1 Paid App

#1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on December 19?

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under “Paid Apps”, as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

To find the overall chart, click “Apps” at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to “Top Paid Apps” and click “See All.” Then under “Paid Apps” in the “Top Charts” section, you’ll see the list that will be used as the resolution source for this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

#1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 31?

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under “Paid Apps”, as of October 17, 2025, at 12:00 PM ET.

To find the overall chart, click “Apps” at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to “Top Paid Apps” and click “See All.” Then under “Paid Apps” in the “Top Charts” section, you’ll see the list that will be used as the resolution source for this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

#1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 17?

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under “Paid Apps”, as of October 24, 2025, at 12:00 PM ET.

To find the overall chart, click “Apps” at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to “Top Paid Apps” and click “See All.” Then under “Paid Apps” in the “Top Charts” section, you’ll see the list that will be used as the resolution source for this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

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Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, December 16, 2025, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 Netflix show in the United States.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by December 19, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Will "Sean Combs: The Reckoning: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 16, 2025)

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, December 16, 2025, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 Netflix movie in the United States.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by December 19, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Will "My Secret Santa" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (December 16, 2025)

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, December 16, 2025, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 Netflix show in the United States.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by December 19, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Will "Stranger Things 5" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (December 16, 2025)

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, December 16, 2025, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 Netflix movie in the United States.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by December 19, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Will "My Secret Santa" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (December 16, 2025)

The app Wizz has been described as 'Tinder for kids' due to its dating app-style left- and right-swipe features to match and meet with strangers.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Wizz iOS app is no longer available for download on the United States Apple App Store at any point between December 10, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the app is inaccessible due to technical issues with the App Store itself, this will not count as a removal.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Apple and the Apple App Store, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


'Tinder for kids' removed from App Store?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if BasedApp's daily builder revenue is equal to or greater than the value specified in the title on any day by December 31, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is Flowscan, specifically the "Daily Revenue by Builder" bar chart set on "30D" available at https://www.flowscan.xyz/builders?builder=all

This market will resolve once any daily total revenue for BasedApp is equal to or greater than the value specified in the title, or once the bar for "31 Dec 2025" is finalized and no bar within the timeframe has been equal to or greater than that value.

The value displayed when hovering over the bar for "Dec 31, 2025" will be considered finalized once any bar for January 1 is published.

Will BasedApp daily builder revenue hit $1M in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any song by IVE is in the #1 spot on Melon's Top 100 chart for the week labeled December 8, 2025 - December 14, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market may resolve as soon as data for the week of December 8 is released (Which typically occurs on the Monday following the week for which data is collected, i.e. December 15). If no data is released for the week of December 8 - December 14 by December 15, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Melon. The top 100 chart can be found on https://www.melon.com/chart/#. 

Will IVE reach #1 on Melon this week? (December 8 - 14)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any song by I-dle is in the #1 spot on Melon's Top 100 chart for the week labeled December 8, 2025 - December 14, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market may resolve as soon as data for the week of December 8 is released (Which typically occurs on the Monday following the week for which data is collected, i.e. December 15). If no data is released for the week of December 8 - December 14 by December 15, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Melon. The top 100 chart can be found on https://www.melon.com/chart/#. 

Will I-dle reach #1 on Melon this week? (December 8 - 14)

This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Apple (AAPL) on the final trading day of 2025.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the final trading day is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.

In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.

The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."

Will Apple (AAPL) close at $280–285 in 2025?

Spotify curates a playlist of the most streamed songs globally and updates it by 6PM to reflect streaming data for the previous day, beginning at 12AM UTC and ending 11:59PM the preceding day.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mariah Carey's 'All I Want For Christmas Is You' is the most-streamed song globally on Spotify for the day labeled December 25.

If Spotify does not release its top song for December 25 by December 26, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify. The daily top songs chart can be found on open.spotify.com under the "Charts" heading. 

Will Spotify's top song on December 25 be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any song by aespa is in the #1 spot on Melon's Top 100 chart for the week labeled December 8, 2025 - December 14, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market may resolve as soon as data for the week of December 8 is released (Which typically occurs on the Monday following the week for which data is collected, i.e. December 15). If no data is released for the week of December 8 - December 14 by December 15, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Melon. The top 100 chart can be found on https://www.melon.com/chart/#. 

Will aespa reach #1 on Melon this week? (December 8 - 14)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the standard edition of the AirTag 2 launches at $29.99 or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the pre-tax launch price in USD of the standard edition of the AirTag 2 as listed on the official Apple Store website or Apple’s retail pricing in the United States on the first official day of its release.

If the price differs between configurations, this market will resolve according to the lower price of the version that includes the full standard AirTag 2 model with no additional features, accessories, or services.

A qualifying product must be named "AirTag" and be recognized as a successor to the original AirTag product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 14 and iPhone 15. A new AirTag product released without a number, under a designation other than AirTag 2 will qualify if it retains the original functions of the AirTag and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.

In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.

If the AirTag 2 is not released by June 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official Apple Store (online or retail pricing), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Apple AirTags 2 priced below $30 USD at release?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Drake’s next officially released album debuts at No. 1 on the Billboard 200 albums chart for its first charted week following release. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Drake does not release a new album by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market may resolve as soon as Billboard publishes the first chart week in which the album appears.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Billboard (https://www.billboard.com/charts/billboard-200/).

Will Drake's next album debut No.1 on Billboard 200?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any song by BABYMONSTER is in the #1 spot on Melon's Top 100 chart for the week labeled December 8, 2025 - December 14, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market may resolve as soon as data for the week of December 8 is released (Which typically occurs on the Monday following the week for which data is collected, i.e. December 15). If no data is released for the week of December 8 - December 14 by December 15, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Melon. The top 100 chart can be found on https://www.melon.com/chart/#. 

Will BABYMONSTER reach #1 on Melon this week? (December 8 - 14)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if diVine, the short-form video app backed by Jack Dorsey, has a functional native iOS application publicly available for download in the U.S. by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

To qualify, the app has to be functional, i.e., it must be publicly accessible, installable, and capable of performing its core short-form video functions (such as viewing, uploading, or interacting with videos) in a manner consistent with a normal early-stage launch. Minor bugs or limited features will not disqualify the app so long as core functionality is available to the public.

The application must be officially released by diVine or through official diVine communication channels.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from diVine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will diVine launch iOS app by December 31?

This market will resolve according to the first individual who is officially announced as the next permanent successor to Tim Cook as CEO of Apple Inc. by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

An announcement of a successor will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether the announced replacement actually becomes the next CEO of Apple.

Interim CEOs will not qualify.

If no permanent successor to Tim Cook as CEO of Apple Inc. is announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source will be public statements from Apple Inc.

Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple releases a new Apple TV product by December 31, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying product must be named "Apple TV" and be recognized as a successor to the original Apple TV, similar to the relationship between iPhone 14 and iPhone 15. A new Apple TV product released without a number, under a designation other than Apple TV 2 will qualify if it retains the original functions of the Apple TV and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.

In order to be considered released, the product must be officially announced by Apple, or otherwise available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone, for example during a WWDC event, will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Apple release a new version of the Apple TV by December 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.

If a listed modeI ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.


Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model this year?

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesdays at 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve according to the number of consecutive weeks that Stranger Things: Season 5 holds the #1 spot on Netflix's global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com.

If the show does not debut as #1 or is otherwise not released by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET,  this market will resolve to the lowest bracket (0). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur on a given week at the scheduled release time, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time for the next week. If no update occurs by that point, this market will resolve according to the number of the most recent previous week where the specified show was at #1.

Consecutive weeks are counted based on Netflix's official weekly Netflix global Top 10 TV shows list publications. 

The resolution source will be based on Netflix's official Netflix global Top 10 TV shows chart.

Will Stranger Things: Season 5 be #1 for 2 straight weeks?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a Justin Bieber song reaches #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 between September 4 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source will be Billboard.com.

Will a Justin Bieber song reach #1 this year?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced that Perplexity AI will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Apple (Apple inc.) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement by Perplexity AI will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Apple or Perplexity, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

#1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on December 19?

Shadowrocket
$115 Vol.
40%

Jingle+
$75 Vol.
39%

AutoSnore: Snoring Recorder
$75 Vol.
38%

HotSchedules
$80 Vol.
34%

TonalEnergy Tuner & Metronome
$175 Vol.
11%

That’s not my Neighbor!
$101 Vol.
10%

Procreate Pocket
$80 Vol.
6%

AnkiMobile Flashcards
$80 Vol.
6%

Market Context

#1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on December 19?

Rules

#1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on December 19?

Market Context

#1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on December 19?

About

Related

#1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on December 19?

Shadowrocket$115 Vol.40%buy Yes44¢buy No65¢

Jingle+$75 Vol.39%buy Yes72¢buy No94¢

AutoSnore: Snoring Recorder$75 Vol.38%buy Yes54¢buy No78¢

HotSchedules$80 Vol.34%buy Yes48¢buy No80¢

TonalEnergy Tuner & Metronome$175 Vol.11%buy Yes18¢buy No97¢

That’s not my Neighbor!$101 Vol.10%buy Yes18¢buy No98¢

Procreate Pocket$80 Vol.6%buy Yes9¢buy No97¢

AnkiMobile Flashcards$80 Vol.6%buy Yes10¢buy No98¢

Market Context

#1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on December 19?

Rules

#1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on December 19?

Market Context

#1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on December 19?

About

Related

Shadowrocket
$115 Vol.
40%

Jingle+
$75 Vol.
39%

AutoSnore: Snoring Recorder
$75 Vol.
38%

HotSchedules
$80 Vol.
34%

TonalEnergy Tuner & Metronome
$175 Vol.
11%

That’s not my Neighbor!
$101 Vol.
10%

Procreate Pocket
$80 Vol.
6%

AnkiMobile Flashcards
$80 Vol.
6%