Market icon

ECB Interest Rates: December 2025

$1,576,685 Vol.

No change 99.6%

25 bps decrease <1%

50+ bps decrease <1%

Increase <1%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) December 2025 meeting.

If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket.
For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its December 18, 2025 policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html

The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html

This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the December 18, 2025, meeting.

If no interest rate decision or update is published by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
Volume
$1,576,685
End Date
Dec 18, 2025
Created At
Oct 30, 2025, 6:44 PM UTC
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$1,576,685 Vol.

Market icon

ECB Interest Rates: December 2025

No change 99.6%

25 bps decrease <1%

50+ bps decrease <1%

Increase <1%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

50+ bps decrease

$736,046 Vol.

<1%

25 bps decrease

$113,486 Vol.

<1%

No change

$300,424 Vol.

100%

Increase

$426,728 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$1,576,685
End Date
Dec 18, 2025
Created At
Oct 30, 2025, 6:44 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.