Market icon

Next leader out of power in 2025?

$1,593,944 Vol.

Dec 31

None in 2025 91%

Maduro - Venezuela President 9.2%

Zelenskyy - Ukraine President <1%

Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader <1%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve according to the second individual that ceases to occupy their listed office.

An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election will not alone qualify.

Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.

Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.

If this criteria has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None in 2025”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,593,944
End Date
Dec 31, 2025
Created At
Oct 21, 2025, 6:30 PM UTC
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Beware of external links.

$1,593,944 Vol.

Market icon

Next leader out of power in 2025?

Dec 31

None in 2025 91%

Maduro - Venezuela President 9.2%

Zelenskyy - Ukraine President <1%

Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader <1%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

None in 2025

$162,121 Vol.

91%

Maduro - Venezuela President

$92,767 Vol.

9%

Zelenskyy - Ukraine President

$42,961 Vol.

1%

Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader

$36,709 Vol.

1%

Sánchez - Spanish PM

$39,681 Vol.

1%

Abbas - President of Palestine

$45,795 Vol.

<1%

Starmer - UK PM

$34,878 Vol.

<1%

Lecornu - France PM

$81,652 Vol.

<1%

Takaichi - Japan PM

$178,504 Vol.

<1%

Trump - USA President

$123,222 Vol.

<1%

Lula da Silva - Brazil President

$128,351 Vol.

<1%

Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea

$32,291 Vol.

<1%

Albanese - Australia PM

$42,569 Vol.

<1%

Milei - Argentina President

$24,746 Vol.

<1%

Merz - German Chancellor

$28,876 Vol.

<1%

Erdoğan - Türkiye President

$30,159 Vol.

<1%

Xi - General Secretary of the CCP

$34,021 Vol.

<1%

Netanyahu - Israel PM

$74,311 Vol.

<1%

Newsom - California Governor

$19,266 Vol.

<1%

Macron - France President

$31,158 Vol.

<1%

Putin - Russia President

$44,658 Vol.

<1%

Schoof - Netherlands PM

$263,097 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$1,593,944
End Date
Dec 31, 2025
Created At
Oct 21, 2025, 6:30 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.