Market icon

Which company has best AI model end of June?

$592,907 Vol.

Google 57%

xAI 19.3%

OpenAI 16%

Anthropic 5.7%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.

If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volume
$592,907
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Created At
Oct 10, 2025, 9:27 PM UTC
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$592,907 Vol.

Market icon

Which company has best AI model end of June?

Google 57%

xAI 19.3%

OpenAI 16%

Anthropic 5.7%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE
Market icon

Google

$217,409 Vol.

57%

Market icon

xAI

$14,308 Vol.

19%

Market icon

OpenAI

$12,665 Vol.

16%

Market icon

Anthropic

$11,105 Vol.

6%

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DeepSeek

$10,679 Vol.

3%

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Z.ai

$49,200 Vol.

2%

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Alibaba

$15,066 Vol.

2%

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Moonshot

$15,363 Vol.

<1%

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Mistral

$209,653 Vol.

<1%

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Meituan

$37,459 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$592,907
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Created At
Oct 10, 2025, 9:27 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.