OpenAI Markets | Polymarket

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 OpenAI polymarkets

What day will OpenAI next release a new frontier model?

OpenAI

AI

What day will OpenAI next release a new frontier model?

100%

December 11

$4m Vol.

$3m today

$2m Liq.

Ends in 19 days

Which company will have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?

OpenAI

AI

Which company will have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?

50%

Anthropic

$3m Vol.

$164k today

$145k Liq.

118

Ends in 19 days

Which company has second best AI model end of December?

OpenAI

AI

Which company has second best AI model end of December?

52%

Google

$740k Vol.

$82.2k today

$91.3k Liq.

51

Ends in 19 days

Which company will have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?

OpenAI

AI

Which company will have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?

79%

Anthropic

$2m Vol.

$59.3k Liq.

43

Ends in 19 days

Which company has top AI model end of December? (Style Control On)

OpenAI

AI

Which company has top AI model end of December? (Style Control On)

75%

Google

$2m Vol.

$83.9k Liq.

19

Ends in 19 days

GPT ads by...?

GPT ads by...?

35%

March 31

$513k Vol.

$48.8k Liq.

108

Ends in 4 months

GPT-6 released by…?

GPT-6 released by…?

84%

December 31, 2026

$116k Vol.

$16.0k Liq.

31

Ends in 19 days

Which company has the best AI model end of March?

OpenAI

AI

Which company has the best AI model end of March?

62%

Google

$35.4k Vol.

$69.2k Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Which company has the best AI model end of January?

OpenAI

AI

Which company has the best AI model end of January?

73%

Google

$62.5k Vol.

$94.3k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?

OpenAI

AI

Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?

24%

$369k Vol.

$4.4k Liq.

72

Ends in 19 days

Which company has the third best AI model end of December?

OpenAI

AI

Which company has the third best AI model end of December?

29%

Google

$26.3k Vol.

$13.4k Liq.

Ends in 19 days

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025?

OpenAI

AI

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025?

1%

$321k Vol.

$18.3k Liq.

31

Ends in 19 days

Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?

OpenAI

AI

Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?

5%

$310k Vol.

$9.0k Liq.

133

Ends in 19 days

Will OpenAI acquire Chrome by December 31?

OpenAI

Finance

Will OpenAI acquire Chrome by December 31?

1%

$16.2k Vol.

$5.2k Liq.

2

Ends in 19 days

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

28%

December 31, 2026

$63.6k Vol.

$10.4k Liq.

18

Ends in 19 days

Which company has best AI model end of June?

OpenAI

AI

Which company has best AI model end of June?

57%

Google

$593k Vol.

$155k Liq.

61

Ends in 7 months

Which company has the top AI model end of January? (Style Control On)

OpenAI

AI

Which company has the top AI model end of January? (Style Control On)

39%

Google

$3.4k Vol.

$14.2k Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

OpenAI

Finance

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

64%

No IPO by December 31, 2026

$727k Vol.

$122k Liq.

9

Ends in about 1 year

Which company's AI will first hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30?

OpenAI

AI

Which company's AI will first hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30?

64%

Google

$209k Vol.

$27.6k Liq.

15

Ends in 7 months

Which company has the #2 AI model end of March? (Style Control On)

OpenAI

AI

Which company has the #2 AI model end of March? (Style Control On)

36%

xAI

$2.0k Vol.

$20.3k Liq.

Ends in 4 months