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 Science polymarkets

Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?

Science

Politics

Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?

1%

$7m Vol.

$57.5k today

$106k Liq.

329

Ends in 19 days

2025 December 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

Science

Weather

2025 December 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

87%

4th or lower

$8.6k Vol.

$18.0k Liq.

Ends in 29 days

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

Science

Weather

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

83%

8+

$342k Vol.

$102k Liq.

1

Ends in 7 months

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by December 31?

Science

Weather

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by December 31?

45%

2

$493k Vol.

$29.0k Liq.

10

Ends in 19 days

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Science

Politics

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

12%

$176k Vol.

$63.6k Liq.

19

Ends in about 1 year

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?

Science

Weather

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?

55%

December 31, 2025

$14.6k Vol.

$6.2k Liq.

Ends in 19 days

Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?

Science

Crypto

Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?

7%

$64.7k Vol.

$8.2k Liq.

3

Ends in about 1 year

Measles cases in U.S. before 2026?

Science

Pandemics

Measles cases in U.S. before 2026?

92%

2000

$1m Vol.

$7.8k Liq.

Ends in 19 days

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

Science

Weather

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

38%

2

$702k Vol.

$46.6k Liq.

3

Ends in about 1 year

Interstellar object confirmed aliens?

Science

Culture

Interstellar object confirmed aliens?

1%

$719k Vol.

$29.8k Liq.

49

Ends in 19 days

5kt meteor strike in 2025?

Science

SpaceX

5kt meteor strike in 2025?

3%

$311k Vol.

$7.9k Liq.

16

Ends in 19 days

Nothing Ever Happens: Conspiracy Edition

Science

Politics

Nothing Ever Happens: Conspiracy Edition

99%

$64.1k Vol.

$12.7k Liq.

20

Ends in 19 days

Will a Millennium Prize Problem be solved before the end of 2025?

Science

Culture

Will a Millennium Prize Problem be solved before the end of 2025?

1%

$25.5k Vol.

$8.5k Liq.

2

Ends in 19 days

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

Science

Weather

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

4%

$64.4k Vol.

$88.4k Liq.

12

Ends in about 1 year

How many SpaceX launches in 2025?

Science

SpaceX

How many SpaceX launches in 2025?

98%

160-179

$429k Vol.

$21.8k Liq.

11

Ends in 19 days

December 2025 Temperature Increase (ºC)

Science

Weather

December 2025 Temperature Increase (ºC)

30%

1.00–1.04ºC

$2.8k Vol.

$11.7k Liq.

Ends in 29 days

New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2025?

Science

Pandemics

New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2025?

1%

$408k Vol.

$14.8k Liq.

7

Ends in 19 days

New pandemic in 2026?

Science

World

New pandemic in 2026?

11%

$15.6k Vol.

$34.3k Liq.

Ends in about 1 year

Precipitation in NYC in December?

Science

Weather

Precipitation in NYC in December?

55%

<3"

$51.9k Vol.

$9.3k Liq.

4

Ends in 19 days

New pandemic in 2025?

Science

Health

New pandemic in 2025?

1%

$254k Vol.

$29.6k Liq.

Ends in 19 days