Polymarket - Trump won, now what?
Trump won, now what?


Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
14%chance
0.5%

Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?
86%chance
20%

Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia?
0%chance
0.1%

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
37%chance
1%

Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair in 2025?
1%chance
0.5%

Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in 2025?
6%chance
0.4%

Will Trump announce David Malpass to replace Lisa Cook?
0%chance
0.1%

Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?
3%chance
1.1%

Nothing Ever Happens: Military Edition
98%chance
1.7%

Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?
1%chance
0%

Will Trump try to fire Powell in 2025?
1%chance
0.7%

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?
2%chance
0.7%

Trump out as President in 2025?
1%chance
0.1%

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?
4%chance
0.7%

Will Oprah Winfrey be named in newly released Epstein files?
6%chance
0.5%

Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus?
2%chance
0.3%

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
1%chance
0.8%

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Australia"?
0%chance
1.1%

Will Trump’s approval rating be <40.0% on December 31?
4%chance
1.1%

Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2025?
1%chance
0.3%

US forces in Venezuela by December 31?
7%chance
1%

Obama federally charged in 2025?
0%chance
0.9%

Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?
1%chance
0.4%

Will J.D. Vance be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
2%chance
0.4%

Will Trump be impeached in 2025?
0%chance
0.1%

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
26%chance
1%

Trump removed via 25th Amendment in 2025?
0%chance
0.1%

US congress stock trading ban in 2025?
1%chance
0.3%

Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration in 2025?
2%chance
0.4%

Will Trump end Department of Education in 2025?
1%chance
1.4%

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
14%chance
0.5%

Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?
86%chance
20%

Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia?
0%chance
0.1%

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
37%chance
1%

Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair in 2025?
1%chance
0.5%

Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in 2025?
6%chance
0.4%

Will Trump announce David Malpass to replace Lisa Cook?
0%chance
0.1%

Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?
3%chance
1.1%

Nothing Ever Happens: Military Edition
98%chance
1.7%

Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?
1%chance
0%

Will Trump try to fire Powell in 2025?
1%chance
0.7%

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?
2%chance
0.7%

Trump out as President in 2025?
1%chance
0.1%

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?
4%chance
0.7%

Will Oprah Winfrey be named in newly released Epstein files?
6%chance
0.5%

Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus?
2%chance
0.3%

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
1%chance
0.8%

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Australia"?
0%chance
1.1%

Will Trump’s approval rating be <40.0% on December 31?
4%chance
1.1%

Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2025?
1%chance
0.3%

US forces in Venezuela by December 31?
7%chance
1%

Obama federally charged in 2025?
0%chance
0.9%

Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?
1%chance
0.4%

Will J.D. Vance be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
2%chance
0.4%

Will Trump be impeached in 2025?
0%chance
0.1%

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
26%chance
1%

Trump removed via 25th Amendment in 2025?
0%chance
0.1%

US congress stock trading ban in 2025?
1%chance
0.3%

Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration in 2025?
2%chance
0.4%

Will Trump end Department of Education in 2025?
1%chance
1.4%
