Polymarket - Trump won, now what?

Trump won, now what?

Trump and crew

Promises and Policies

What do the first few months in office look like?

Kevin Warsh
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
14%chance
0.5%
0
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?
86%chance
20%
Russia
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia?
0%chance
0.1%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
37%chance
1%
Kevin Warsh
Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair in 2025?
1%chance
0.5%
Steve Bannon
Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in 2025?
6%chance
0.4%
David Malpass
Will Trump announce David Malpass to replace Lisa Cook?
0%chance
0.1%
Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?
3%chance
1.1%
Nothing Ever Happens: Military Edition
98%chance
1.7%
China
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?
1%chance
0%
Will Trump try to fire Powell in 2025?
1%chance
0.7%
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?
2%chance
0.7%
Trump out as President in 2025?
1%chance
0.1%
December 31, 2025
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?
4%chance
0.7%
Oprah Winfrey
Will Oprah Winfrey be named in newly released Epstein files?
6%chance
0.5%
Belarus
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus?
2%chance
0.3%
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
1%chance
0.8%
Australia
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Australia"?
0%chance
1.1%
<40.0%
Will Trump’s approval rating be <40.0% on December 31?
4%chance
1.1%
35%
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2025?
1%chance
0.3%
December 31
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?
7%chance
1%
Obama federally charged in 2025?
0%chance
0.9%
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?
1%chance
0.4%
J.D. Vance
Will J.D. Vance be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
2%chance
0.4%
Will Trump be impeached in 2025?
0%chance
0.1%
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
26%chance
1%
Trump removed via 25th Amendment in 2025?
0%chance
0.1%
US congress stock trading ban in 2025?
1%chance
0.3%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration in 2025?
2%chance
0.4%
Will Trump end Department of Education in 2025?
1%chance
1.4%
Kevin Warsh
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
14%chance
0.5%
0
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?
86%chance
20%
Russia
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia?
0%chance
0.1%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
37%chance
1%
Kevin Warsh
Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair in 2025?
1%chance
0.5%
Steve Bannon
Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in 2025?
6%chance
0.4%
David Malpass
Will Trump announce David Malpass to replace Lisa Cook?
0%chance
0.1%
Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?
3%chance
1.1%
Nothing Ever Happens: Military Edition
98%chance
1.7%
China
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?
1%chance
0%
Will Trump try to fire Powell in 2025?
1%chance
0.7%
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?
2%chance
0.7%
Trump out as President in 2025?
1%chance
0.1%
December 31, 2025
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?
4%chance
0.7%
Oprah Winfrey
Will Oprah Winfrey be named in newly released Epstein files?
6%chance
0.5%
Belarus
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus?
2%chance
0.3%
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
1%chance
0.8%
Australia
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Australia"?
0%chance
1.1%
<40.0%
Will Trump’s approval rating be <40.0% on December 31?
4%chance
1.1%
35%
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2025?
1%chance
0.3%
December 31
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?
7%chance
1%
Obama federally charged in 2025?
0%chance
0.9%
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?
1%chance
0.4%
J.D. Vance
Will J.D. Vance be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
2%chance
0.4%
Will Trump be impeached in 2025?
0%chance
0.1%
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
26%chance
1%
Trump removed via 25th Amendment in 2025?
0%chance
0.1%
US congress stock trading ban in 2025?
1%chance
0.3%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration in 2025?
2%chance
0.4%
Will Trump end Department of Education in 2025?
1%chance
1.4%