Market icon

Bank of Canada decision in January?

$36,068 Vol.

No change 93%

25 bps decrease 6.2%

Increase 1.7%

50+ bps decrease 1.1%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's January 2026 meeting.

If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its January 28, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates

This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volume
$36,068
End Date
Jan 28, 2026
Created At
Nov 7, 2025, 8:54 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.

$36,068 Vol.

Market icon

Bank of Canada decision in January?

No change 93%

25 bps decrease 6.2%

Increase 1.7%

50+ bps decrease 1.1%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

50+ bps decrease

$1,413 Vol.

1%

25 bps decrease

$1,425 Vol.

6%

No change

$31,718 Vol.

93%

Increase

$1,513 Vol.

2%

About

Volume
$36,068
End Date
Jan 28, 2026
Created At
Nov 7, 2025, 8:54 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.